Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Nylander 48.4% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 54.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 77.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.4%
Result
William Nylander favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Duchene
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
46.0% (100)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
52.6% (19)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
56.6% (318)
53.6% (69)
Away
56.4% (319)
38.0% (50)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
57.2%
51.5%
P2
55.1%
37.5%
P3
55.6%
55.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |