Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Nylander 45.2% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 61.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 56.0%
Neutral zone
Nylander 64.7%
Result
William Nylander favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Duchene
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Duchene
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
41.0% (61)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
0.0% (5)
+60.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Duchene is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Duchene shoots left. Nylander is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Duchene
Nylander
Home
51.6% (182)
42.1% (38)
Away
52.2% (201)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Duchene
Nylander
P1
49.6%
37.5%
P2
56.2%
31.0%
P3
48.6%
47.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | William Nylander |