Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Gourde 49.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 80.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 55.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Duchene
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
49.1% (731)
-2.2%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
54.3% (81)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
48.2% (85)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Duchene
Gourde
Home
58.4% (125)
50.9% (479)
Away
48.4% (95)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Duchene
Gourde
P1
56.9%
51.2%
P2
52.5%
49.8%
P3
51.9%
47.5%
OT
80.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |