Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 80.7%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Duchene
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Duchene
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
49.1% (847)
+4.8%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
79.5% (44)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.5% (81)
+60.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Duchene
Gourde
Home
54.9% (113)
50.1% (491)
Away
51.4% (146)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Duchene
Gourde
P1
54.9%
54.7%
P2
52.7%
45.0%
P3
51.9%
49.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |