Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 51.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Duchene
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (324)
47.2% (654)
+4.0%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
45.0% (20)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
32.2% (87)
-15.5%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Duchene shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Duchene
Gourde
Home
51.6% (182)
44.1% (322)
Away
52.2% (201)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Duchene
Gourde
P1
49.6%
42.4%
P2
56.2%
49.8%
P3
48.6%
44.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%