Matthew Poitras vs Nico Sturm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +26.8% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Poitras 48.6% vs Sturm 54.1% (-26.8%)
Offensive zone Poitras 71.4%
Defensive zone Sturm 80.2%
Neutral zone Sturm 58.9%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Poitras Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Poitras
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (7)
54.1% (233)
-25.5%
On even strength, Sturm has a +25.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Poitras is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Poitras shoots right. Sturm is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Poitras
Sturm
Home
28.6% (7)
54.4% (149)
Away
0.0% (0)
56.3% (158)
By Period
Poitras
Sturm
P1
0.0%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
55.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
40.0%
45.0%
28.6%
Sturm
56.0%
58.5%
55.4%