Matthew Poitras vs Nico Sturm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nico Sturm holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Poitras 48.3% vs Sturm 53.6% (-15.7%)
Offensive zone Poitras 71.1%
Defensive zone Sturm 81.5%
Neutral zone Sturm 58.5%
Result Nico Sturm favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Poitras Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Poitras
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (17)
54.6% (271)
-19.3%
On even strength, Sturm has a +19.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Poitras is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Poitras shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Poitras
Sturm
Home
28.6% (7)
53.0% (168)
Away
45.5% (11)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Poitras
Sturm
P1
50.0%
58.2%
P2
33.3%
53.2%
P3
25.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%
44.5%
38.9%
Sturm
52.0%
57.5%
54.6%