Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 47.6% vs Sturm 57.1% (-13.1%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 71.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 84.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 63.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Poitras
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (126)
62.1% (356)
-16.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
75.0% (4)
-8.3%
On even strength, Sturm has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Poitras is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Poitras shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Poitras
Sturm
Home
43.3% (67)
61.8% (191)
Away
48.4% (62)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Poitras
Sturm
P1
44.1%
58.0%
P2
47.1%
57.9%
P3
45.5%
60.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%