Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Janmark on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Janmark wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 40.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Janmark leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 85.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 79.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Janmark
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Janmark
MacKinnon
Last 10: Janmark 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Janmark
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
4
2
Janmark
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
5
1
Janmark
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (907)
46.1% (11,218)
-6.4%
Power Play
32.5% (40)
53.3% (1,412)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (72)
42.8% (502)
-6.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (368).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
39.3% (463)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
39.0% (556)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
41.2%
47.4%
P2
35.7%
46.6%
P3
41.3%
46.1%
OT
37.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
40.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
39.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Nov 1, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |