Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 46.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 54.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 68.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Janmark
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Janmark
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (66)
45.5% (1,190)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.4% (94)
-56.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
40.0% (30)
-27.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
56.7% (30)
47.8% (670)
Away
33.3% (45)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
55.6%
45.3%
P2
31.8%
48.5%
P3
38.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
42.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |