Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 47.9% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-14.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 53.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Janmark
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (19)
50.0% (992)
-13.2%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
41.7% (12)
53.3% (591)
Away
28.6% (7)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
16.7%
49.9%
P2
45.5%
53.2%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%