Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.1% vs 44.4%). Janmark wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 47.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Janmark 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Janmark
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (51)
44.7% (1,053)
+4.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
36.8% (95)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
65.0% (20)
-50.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
46.4% (28)
49.4% (553)
Away
41.9% (31)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
41.7%
45.3%
P2
36.8%
42.7%
P3
56.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
26.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
44.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%