Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Janmark wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.4% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 70.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Janmark
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Janmark
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (213)
49.2% (1,266)
-8.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.9% (193)
-54.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
49.1% (55)
-9.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
44.1% (111)
50.9% (740)
Away
37.5% (128)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
34.6%
50.9%
P2
41.5%
51.8%
P3
45.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |