Mattias Janmark vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Janmark wins 34.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 40.0% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Janmark
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Janmark
MacKinnon
Last 8: Janmark 4-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Janmark
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Janmark
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Janmark
3
0
Janmark
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (238)
48.2% (849)
-12.1%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
51.0% (151)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.7% (47)
-16.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Janmark is 34.2% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Janmark shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Janmark
MacKinnon
Home
33.3% (117)
51.2% (521)
Away
38.5% (143)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Janmark
MacKinnon
P1
38.4%
49.9%
P2
34.7%
48.0%
P3
36.0%
47.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
35.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
36.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mattias Janmark |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Mattias Janmark |