Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Beniers 47.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 88.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.3%
Neutral zone
Beniers 73.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Evans
Beniers
Last 7: Evans 2-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Evans
Beniers
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
1
Evans
Beniers
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
2
Evans
Beniers
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
48.3% (1,050)
+6.1%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
42.9% (105)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
43.6% (39)
+4.5%
On power play, Evans has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
55.1% (541)
48.7% (630)
Away
50.8% (581)
46.5% (564)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
51.8%
49.2%
P2
53.3%
45.0%
P3
53.8%
49.3%
OT
38.5%
22.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:05 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |