Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.5%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 59.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 58.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beniers
Schmaltz
Last 6: Beniers 2-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
38.5% (309)
+8.8%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
53.2% (79)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
25.0% (12)
-1.2%
On even strength, Beniers has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
49.6% (565)
38.0% (184)
Away
45.2% (546)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
48.0%
40.3%
P2
49.0%
39.9%
P3
46.5%
40.7%
OT
23.5%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 04:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |