Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 79.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 59.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 64.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Beniers
Schmaltz
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
4
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
6
Beniers
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
41.2% (3,399)
+5.4%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
47.1% (649)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
47.8% (134)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
48.9% (2,195)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
47.4%
41.1%
P2
47.1%
42.9%
P3
45.7%
43.0%
OT
34.1%
42.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 04:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |