Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beniers wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 58.5%
Defensive zone
Beniers 78.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 55.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Beniers
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
48.1% (268)
+0.2%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
50.5% (91)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
58.8% (17)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
48.7% (630)
49.0% (206)
Away
46.5% (564)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
45.0%
46.2%
P3
49.3%
50.4%
OT
22.2%
16.7%
Final 5 min
45.6%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |