Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Beniers wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 73.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 56.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Beniers
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Beniers
Schmaltz
Last 8: Beniers 3-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Beniers
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
3
Beniers
Schmaltz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
45.9% (665)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
46.8% (111)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (24)
+0.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Beniers is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Beniers shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Beniers
Schmaltz
Home
52.4% (460)
44.7% (409)
Away
46.0% (441)
47.6% (391)
By Period
Beniers
Schmaltz
P1
48.4%
40.3%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
47.8%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |