Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Zacha 51.7% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 67.9%
Defensive zone
Beniers 52.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 56.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Beniers
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
53.3% (646)
-4.4%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
53.0% (100)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
38.9% (72)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
52.4% (460)
51.7% (410)
Away
46.0% (441)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
48.4%
57.7%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
47.8%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |