Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.2% vs Zacha 51.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 63.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 53.5%
Neutral zone
Beniers 50.6%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Beniers
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Beniers
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (647)
53.7% (497)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
54.8% (84)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
37.5% (64)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
52.7% (357)
51.0% (335)
Away
45.4% (348)
53.5% (310)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
47.9%
60.0%
P2
51.9%
48.1%
P3
46.8%
48.8%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
64.0%▲
51.0%
49.1%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |