Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Zacha 54.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 87.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 66.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 78.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Beniers
Zacha
Last 5: Beniers 4-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
1
Beniers
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
53.9% (787)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
63.2% (193)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
44.3% (88)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
49.6% (565)
56.7% (538)
Away
45.2% (546)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
48.0%
52.6%
P2
49.0%
54.8%
P3
46.5%
56.8%
OT
23.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |