Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Zacha 49.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 58.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Beniers
Zacha
Last 10: Beniers 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
4
Beniers
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
2
Beniers
Zacha
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
48.9% (5,102)
-2.3%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
55.6% (804)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
42.2% (555)
-0.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
48.9% (2,195)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
47.4%
49.9%
P2
47.1%
49.2%
P3
45.7%
48.1%
OT
34.1%
53.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |