Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Zacha 52.8% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 51.7%
Defensive zone
Beniers 70.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 52.3%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Beniers
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beniers
Zacha
Last 5: Beniers 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Beniers
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
54.1% (534)
-5.8%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
56.0% (109)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
44.8% (96)
-1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Beniers
Zacha
Home
48.7% (630)
53.4% (406)
Away
46.5% (564)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Beniers
Zacha
P1
49.2%
56.8%
P2
45.0%
53.6%
P3
49.3%
49.2%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |