Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 48.0%). Look for Beniers on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 56.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.1%
Neutral zone
Beniers 54.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Beniers 3-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (945)
51.0% (408)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
0.0% (6)
+51.7%
Penalty Kill
23.8% (21)
35.9% (78)
-12.1%
On power play, Beniers has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.6% (565)
50.8% (258)
Away
45.2% (546)
44.9% (234)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.0%
51.6%
P2
49.0%
45.2%
P3
46.5%
47.6%
OT
23.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |