Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.2%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
6
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
3
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
50.3% (479)
-2.0%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
50.0% (28)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
30.0% (50)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.7% (630)
48.9% (270)
Away
46.5% (564)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.2%
48.7%
P2
45.0%
50.0%
P3
49.3%
47.3%
OT
22.2%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |