Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 22-19 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 51.4%
Neutral zone
Beniers 51.8%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
22
(41 meetings)
19
22
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Beniers 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
8
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
5
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
44.9% (8,756)
+1.7%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
50.7% (839)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
37.9% (879)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Beniers has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
48.9% (2,195)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.4%
45.1%
P2
47.1%
43.9%
P3
45.7%
45.3%
OT
34.1%
43.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |