Matty Beniers vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 51.0%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Beniers 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
47.6% (231)
+1.3%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
83.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
33.3% (21)
+16.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.4% (460)
51.2% (164)
Away
46.0% (441)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Beniers
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
51.1%
46.2%
P3
47.8%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |