Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beniers wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 42.9% vs Steel 48.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 70.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 68.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 77.2%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Beniers
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Beniers
Steel
Last 6: Beniers 4-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
4
0
Beniers
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Beniers
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (879)
49.5% (553)
-7.2%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
61.3% (31)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
30.6% (49)
+13.8%
On power play, Steel has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Beniers is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Beniers shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Beniers
Steel
Home
43.8% (495)
46.4% (347)
Away
40.5% (474)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Beniers
Steel
P1
43.3%
52.1%
P2
45.6%
49.8%
P3
38.2%
45.2%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
42.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |