Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 49.4% vs Steel 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.1%
Defensive zone
Steel 56.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 56.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Beniers
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Beniers
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (833)
52.5% (200)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (36)
71.4% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
40.0% (45)
+10.0%
On power play, Steel has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Beniers is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Beniers shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Beniers
Steel
Home
52.4% (460)
49.5% (109)
Away
46.0% (441)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Beniers
Steel
P1
48.4%
49.5%
P2
51.1%
47.5%
P3
47.8%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |