Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 46.7% vs Steel 50.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 67.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 69.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 79.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Beniers
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Beniers
Steel
Last 10: Beniers 8-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
6
0
Beniers
Steel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Beniers
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
0
Beniers
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (3,796)
50.6% (2,876)
-4.0%
Power Play
47.8% (360)
62.6% (179)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (111)
37.4% (254)
+4.0%
On power play, Steel has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,820).
Beniers shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Beniers
Steel
Home
48.9% (2,195)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
44.2% (2,072)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Beniers
Steel
P1
47.4%
51.9%
P2
47.1%
49.5%
P3
45.7%
49.6%
OT
34.1%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 02:13 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |