Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beniers 47.8% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 58.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 74.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 76.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Beniers
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Beniers
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
1
0
Beniers
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beniers
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,050)
56.9% (320)
-8.6%
Power Play
42.9% (105)
71.4% (7)
-28.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (39)
37.0% (73)
+6.6%
On power play, Steel has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Beniers is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Beniers shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Beniers
Steel
Home
48.7% (630)
55.9% (202)
Away
46.5% (564)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Beniers
Steel
P1
49.2%
55.5%
P2
45.0%
55.1%
P3
49.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
45.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |