Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Domi 53.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 65.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Nelson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nelson
Domi
Last 6: Nelson 1-5 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
3
Nelson
Domi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
53.8% (847)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
52.1% (96)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
57.1% (7)
-32.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Home / Away
Nelson
Domi
Home
48.9% (521)
53.9% (445)
Away
45.5% (516)
53.5% (505)
By Period
Nelson
Domi
P1
45.9%
51.4%
P2
48.0%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Max Domi |