Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Domi wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs Backlund 49.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 65.6%
Defensive zone
Domi 62.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 66.0%
Result
Max Domi favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Domi
Backlund
Last 5: Domi 1-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Domi
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Domi
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
49.2% (884)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.6% (157)
44.3% (61)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
57.0% (86)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
46.4% (524)
49.3% (531)
Away
43.2% (472)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
45.2%
47.1%
P2
42.7%
53.7%
P3
47.1%
47.8%
OT
38.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |