Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Backlund 50.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 56.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Domi
Backlund
Last 10: Domi 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Domi
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Domi
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
51.9% (1,083)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
51.7% (120)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.3% (183)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
53.9% (445)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.5% (505)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
51.4%
51.4%
P2
55.3%
50.5%
P3
54.7%
51.4%
OT
41.7%
35.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |