Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 74.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Domi
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Domi
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (394)
51.0% (1,205)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.7% (58)
59.3% (108)
-7.6%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
53.2% (235)
51.2% (782)
Away
46.5% (217)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
54.4%
51.5%
P2
46.6%
49.8%
P3
49.6%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Max Domi |