Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Backlund 49.7% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 70.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 59.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Domi
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Domi
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
50.1% (891)
+0.3%
Power Play
59.3% (27)
53.1% (64)
+6.2%
On power play, Domi has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
50.0% (174)
48.1% (580)
Away
53.3% (107)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
45.7%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
54.7%
P3
57.3%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
38.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |