Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Backlund 48.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 72.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Domi
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Domi
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Domi
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
50.4% (1,032)
-0.7%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
52.3% (107)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.6% (313)
-40.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Domi
Backlund
Home
51.0% (298)
48.7% (749)
Away
49.2% (246)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Domi
Backlund
P1
54.8%
50.4%
P2
48.9%
50.1%
P3
46.4%
45.8%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |