Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Sturm 55.2% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 78.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 66.7%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.3%
Result
Max Domi favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Domi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Domi
Sturm
Last 5: Domi 2-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Domi
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Domi
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
56.1% (716)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
67.7% (31)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.1% (133)
+6.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Domi
Sturm
Home
53.9% (445)
55.6% (412)
Away
53.5% (505)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Domi
Sturm
P1
51.4%
59.6%
P2
55.3%
52.0%
P3
54.7%
55.5%
OT
41.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |