Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.9% vs Sturm 53.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 66.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 81.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.5%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Domi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Domi
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (254)
54.6% (271)
-4.2%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Domi shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Domi
Sturm
Home
50.0% (174)
53.0% (168)
Away
53.3% (107)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Domi
Sturm
P1
45.7%
58.2%
P2
51.5%
53.2%
P3
57.3%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Max Domi |