Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Sturm 57.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 73.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.6%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Domi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Domi
Sturm
Last 6: Domi 3-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Domi
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
62.1% (356)
-12.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
75.0% (4)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.7% (62)
-38.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Domi
Sturm
Home
51.0% (298)
61.8% (191)
Away
49.2% (246)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Domi
Sturm
P1
54.8%
58.0%
P2
48.9%
57.9%
P3
46.4%
60.6%
Final 5 min
45.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |