Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.6% vs McCarron 52.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 52.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.1%
Neutral zone
McCarron 70.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Drury
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
McCarron
Last 8: Drury 3-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Drury
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (659)
53.1% (672)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
18.2% (11)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (155)
53.7% (205)
-4.0%
On power play, Drury has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Drury is 63.3% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Drury shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Drury
McCarron
Home
59.2% (407)
52.8% (477)
Away
57.8% (417)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Drury
McCarron
P1
59.1%
56.5%
P2
57.6%
53.2%
P3
58.8%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |