Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Frost 48.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 79.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.1%
Neutral zone
Frost 52.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
McCarron
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
McCarron
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
47.4% (426)
+10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
63.9% (36)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
20.0% (5)
+12.6%
On power play, Frost has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
McCarron
Frost
Home
48.3% (147)
51.1% (221)
Away
58.7% (206)
45.9% (246)
By Period
McCarron
Frost
P1
53.4%
47.5%
P2
59.5%
52.3%
P3
50.0%
44.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |