Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Frost 51.1% (+3.2%)
Offensive zone
Frost 89.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 87.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
McCarron
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
50.3% (825)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.9% (204)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
50.0% (4)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
McCarron
Frost
Home
54.6% (445)
50.7% (489)
Away
54.2% (478)
51.7% (544)
By Period
McCarron
Frost
P1
53.6%
53.6%
P2
55.6%
47.8%
P3
53.7%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%