Michael McCarron vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Frost 50.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 81.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 50.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
McCarron
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McCarron
Frost
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
5
McCarron
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
2
McCarron
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
49.4% (3,598)
+4.0%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
55.5% (625)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
52.8% (36)
-2.3%
On power play, Frost has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
McCarron
Frost
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
McCarron
Frost
P1
53.9%
50.8%
P2
52.5%
51.1%
P3
52.0%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |