Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +19.9% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Cates 40.4% (+19.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 53.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 55.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McCarron
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
40.4% (841)
+22.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.4% (66)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
32.7% (147)
+11.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
McCarron shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
McCarron
Cates
Home
59.5% (42)
38.2% (566)
Away
59.4% (64)
41.0% (488)
By Period
McCarron
Cates
P1
71.0%
40.5%
P2
48.7%
42.4%
P3
61.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%