Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Cates 45.8% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Cates 60.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McCarron
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
44.3% (271)
+10.2%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
77.8% (18)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
31.7% (41)
+3.6%
On power play, Cates has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
McCarron
Cates
Home
52.2% (339)
52.0% (148)
Away
54.2% (332)
38.5% (182)
By Period
McCarron
Cates
P1
53.5%
42.7%
P2
50.6%
42.9%
P3
55.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%