Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Donato 47.1% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 81.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.6%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
McCarron
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCarron
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
McCarron
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
30.4% (23)
+27.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.3% (15)
-3.3%
On even strength, McCarron has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Donato is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
McCarron
Donato
Home
48.3% (147)
47.1% (17)
Away
58.7% (206)
33.3% (21)
By Period
McCarron
Donato
P1
53.4%
33.3%
P2
59.5%
28.6%
P3
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |