Michael McCarron vs Ryan Donato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Donato on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Donato 44.9% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Donato leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Donato 89.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 72.5%
Neutral zone
Donato 67.8%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
McCarron
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
McCarron
Donato
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
4
McCarron
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron
Donato
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Donato
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
44.2% (1,179)
+9.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
46.3% (246)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
36.4% (11)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Donato is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
McCarron
Donato
Home
52.3% (1,696)
47.2% (743)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
41.6% (693)
By Period
McCarron
Donato
P1
53.9%
43.4%
P2
52.5%
45.1%
P3
52.0%
44.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |