Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Donato 46.0% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 60.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 64.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
McCarron
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCarron
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
McCarron
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Donato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
44.4% (180)
+10.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
43.2% (37)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
40.0% (5)
-4.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Donato is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
McCarron
Donato
Home
52.2% (339)
45.4% (97)
Away
54.2% (332)
43.2% (125)
By Period
McCarron
Donato
P1
53.5%
36.2%
P2
50.6%
48.6%
P3
55.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |